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作者:Levin, Andrew T.; Lopez-Salido, J. David; Nelson, Edward; Yun, Tack
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - St. Louis; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve System Board of Governors
摘要:Macroeconometric equivalence means that estimates of DSGE models using first-order approximations to equilibrium conditions fail to distinguish between alternative preference/technology configurations. Microeconomic dissonance means that the underlying microeconomic differences between ostensibly equivalent models become important when optimal monetary policy is derived. The relevance of these concepts is established by analysis of optimal monetary policy using a small-scale New Keynesian mode...
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作者:Fuhrer, Jeff; Tootell, Geoff
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Boston
摘要:Since the stock market boom of the 1990s, many have suggested the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has adopted an unannounced policy goal of supporting equity values. This paper offers a new approach to disentangle the relationship between changes in equity values and monetary policy. Specifically, the paper distinguishes the FOMC's reaction to forecasts of traditional goal variables, which may depend on equity prices, from the FOMC's independent reaction to changes in equity prices. By us...
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作者:Crucini, Mario J.; Shintani, Mototsugu
作者单位:Vanderbilt University; Bank of Japan
摘要:Using an extensive micro-price panel, we find a positive cross-sectional relationship between LOP persistence and the distribution margin, which we measure using sectoral U.S. data, as suggested by the classical dichotomy. The median level of persistence (across goods) is low, and there is no evidence of a border effect: the half-life of a deviation is about 19 months across OECD cities and just I month lower across cities in the U.S. Aggregating our micro-data using a variety of weighting met...
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作者:Fitzgerald, Doireann
作者单位:Stanford University
摘要:If countries specialize in imperfectly substitutable goods, trade costs increase the share of expenditure devoted to domestic output, reducing the exposure of consumer price inflation to exchange rate changes. I present a multi-country flexible-price model where expenditure shares are inversely related to trade costs through a gravity equation. In this setting, consumer price inflation can be approximated as an expenditure-share-weighted average of the contributions to inflation from all count...
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作者:Rios-Rull, Jose-Victor
作者单位:University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities
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作者:Foellmi, Reto; Zweimueller, Josef
作者单位:University of Bern; University of Zurich
摘要:Non-linear Engel-curves for consumer goods cause continuous structural change. Goods are sequentially introduced starting out as a luxury with high income elasticity and ending up as a necessity with low income elasticity. Although this leads to rising and falling sectoral employment shares, the model exhibits a steady growth path along which the Kaldor facts are satisfied. Extending the basic model to the case of endogenous product innovations shows that complementarities between aggregate an...
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作者:Bohacek, Radim; Kapicka, Marek
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara; Czech Academy of Sciences; Economics Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences
摘要:We analyze optimal income taxes and optimal schooling subsidies in a dynamic private information economy with observable human capital accumulation. We show that under plausible conditions the marginal schooling subsidies are positive and that they are zero at both endpoints of the skill distribution. We compute the optimal policies and evaluate their impact over the transition and at the steady state. We find that the optimal schooling policies are significantly smaller than the optimal margi...
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作者:Farhi, Emmanuel; Werning, Ivan
作者单位:Harvard University; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
摘要:This paper derives an intertemporal optimality condition for economies with private information, focusing on a class of recursive preferences. By comparing it to the situation where agents can freely save in a risk-free asset market, we derive the optimal savings distortions necessary for constrained optimality. Our recursive preferences are homogeneous and satisfy a balanced-growth condition, while allowing us to separate the role of risk aversion and intertemporal elasticity of substitution....
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作者:Perri, Fabrizio
作者单位:Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Minneapolis; University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities; National Bureau of Economic Research
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作者:Naknoi, Kanda
作者单位:Purdue University System; Purdue University
摘要:The real exchange rate is driven by fluctuations of the relative price of traded goods and the relative price of nontraded to traded goods. This study explains the variance decomposition of the real exchange rate using a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model of comparative advantage with money. Given interest rate shocks, exchange rate stability reduces the covariance between the two relative prices and raises the contribution of the relative price of nontraded to traded goods. Producti...