G20 GDP growth slows to 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025

  • 时间:2026-03-16

GDP growth in the G20 area slowed to 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025, according to provisional estimates, down from 0.9% in the previous quarter.

Corrigendum: In this G20 GDP release published on 16 March 2026, the annual growth figures for Germany and Italy in 2025 were inadvertently reversed in the final paragraph. The sentence originally read: “while Italy (0.2%) and Germany (0.5%) recorded the lowest growth rates."

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GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth in the G20 area slowed to 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025, according to provisional estimates, down from 0.9% in the previous quarter (Figure 1). Canada and Korea recorded contractions of 0.2% in Q4, following growth of 0.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in Q3. In the United States1, growth decelerated, from 1.1% in Q3 to 0.2% in Q4, partly reflecting the impact of the government shutdown in the last quarter of the year. Growth also slowed in Türkiye (from 1.0% to 0.4%), and more marginally in France (0.5% to 0.2%) and India (2.1% to 1.8%).

By contrast, several G20 countries experienced stronger or steady growth in Q4 compared with Q3 2025. Growth increased sharply in Japan (from -0.7% to 0.3%) and in Mexico (from 0.1% to 0.9%). More moderate accelerations were observed in Australia (0.5% to 0.8%), Brazil (0.0% to 0.1%), China (1.1% to 1.2%), Germany (0.0% to 0.3%), Italy (0.2% to 0.3%), Saudi Arabia (1.2% to 1.4%) and South Africa (0.3% to 0.4%). Growth was unchanged in Indonesia (at 1.3%) and the United Kingdom (at 0.1%).

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP in the G20 area was 3.2% higher in Q4 2025 (Table 2). Among G20 economies with available data, India recorded the highest year-on-year growth rate at 7.6%, while Germany recorded the lowest at 0.4%.

Initial annual estimates2 indicate that G20 GDP growth slightly increased to 3.4% in 2025, compared with 3.2% in 2024 (Figure 2). Among the G20 countries for which data was available, India recorded the highest annual growth (7.5%), followed by Indonesia (5.1%) and China (5.0%), while Italy (0.5%) and Germany (0.2%) recorded the lowest. Growth in the OECD3 area remained stable at 1.8% in 2025.

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Notes: 

  1. The United States’ nominal GDP represented 19.3% of G20 GDP in 2024 (see Annex table 1 in the methodological note).
  2. Further information on how annual growth estimates are calculated can be found in the methodological note accompanying the G20 GDP growth release.
  3. After delayed publication of US data due to the government shutdown, the OECD aggregate includes again the United States for the entire time series.

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