One hundred years of the design of experiments on and off the pages of Biometrika

• 成果类型: Review
• 署名作者: Atkinson, AC; Bailey, RA
• 署名单位: University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; University of London; Queen Mary University London
• 刊物名称: BIOMETRIKA
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0006-3444
• DOI: 10.1093/biomet/88.1.53
• 发表日期: 2001
• 页码: 5397
• 关键词: incomplete-block-designs; change-over designs; sequential treatment allocation; optimal regression designs; response-surface designs; sample-size requirements; optimal bayesian design; biased-coin designs; efficiency factor; nested rows

摘要

The earliest important papers on planned experiments in Biometrika appeared within a year of each other in 1917 and 1918. Roughly speaking, one was concerned with design optimality and industrial experiments, the other with agricultural trials and blocking. We find this approximate division of the subject into two parts helpful in describing its development and growth. As a result of the hostility between Fisher and Karl Pearson, much of the development of designs for agriculture in the 1920s and 1930s occurred off the pages of Biometrika. Despite this, we are able to trace a coherent history of the development of the subject from field trials and response surface methods to clinical trials and Bayesian versions of design optimality.