Bayesian capture-recapture methods for error detection and estimation of population size: Heterogeneity and dependence
成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
Basu, S; Ebrahimi, N
署名单位:
Northern Illinois University
刊物名称:
BIOMETRIKA
ISSN/ISSBN:
0006-3444
DOI:
10.1093/biomet/88.1.269
发表日期:
2001
页码:
269279
关键词:
摘要:
This paper considers estimation of the unknown size N of a population based on multiple capture-recapture samples. We extend the Bayesian multiple recapture model to accommodate possible heterogeneity and dependence among the samples and possible heterogeneity within the samples. In the dependent model, we show that posterior inference for N is independent of almost all the nuisance parameters. We develop a flexible Bayesian model for heterogeneity within samples and demonstrate how Gibbs sampling can be used to calculate the Bayesian estimator for N and other quantities of interest. The performance of the proposed estimators is evaluated by simulation under both correct and incorrect model specifications, and we illustrate our methods in two examples about software review and estimation of a cottontail;rabbit population.
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