Beta-Delta or Delta-Tau? A Reformulation of Quasi-Hyperbolic Discounting

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Bleichrodt, Han; van Loon, Rogier J. D. Potter; Prelec, Drazen
• 署名单位: Erasmus University Rotterdam - Excl Erasmus MC; Erasmus University Rotterdam; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
• 刊物名称: MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0025-1909
• DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4453
• 发表日期: 2022
• 页码: 6326-6335
• 关键词: Quasi-hyperbolic discounting; intertemporal choice; time inconsistency

摘要

This paper introduces the index tau = ln beta/ln delta as a measure of time inconsistency and vulnerability to self-control problems in the quasi-hyperbolic, beta-delta (beta, delta) discounting model. We provide a preference foundation for tau and, consequently, a revealed preference definition of failed self-control. The tau index is independent of utility and has an intuitive interpretation as the maximum number of future selves who can disagree with the current self with respect to uniform deviations from an intertemporal plan. The index is also computable for continuous discount functions after an appropriate mapping of functions onto the (beta, delta) family. The tau index thus provides a common yardstick for comparing temporal inconsistency across different functional forms.