Habit formation and macroeconomic models of the term structure of interest rates

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Buraschi, Andrea; Jiltsov, Alexei
• 署名单位: Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; Imperial College London; Imperial College London
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF FINANCE
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1082
• DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2007.01299.x
• 发表日期: 2007
• 页码: 3009-3063
• 关键词: maximum-likelihood-estimation; asset prices; exchange economy; equity premium; inflation; consumption; real; RISK; returns; preferences

摘要

This paper introduces a new class of nonaffine models of the term structure of interest rates that is supported by an economy with habit formation. Distinguishing features of the model are that the interest rate dynamics are nonlinear, interest rates depend on lagged monetary and consumption shocks, and the price of risk is not a constant multiple of interest rate volatility. We find that habit persistence can help reproduce the nonlinearity of the spot rate process, the documented deviations from the expectations hypothesis, the persistence of the conditional volatility of interest rates, and the lead-lag relationship between interest rates and monetary aggregates.