Import Competition and Household Debt

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Barrot, Jean-Noel; Loualiche, Erik; Plosser, Matthew; Sauvagnat, Julien
• 署名单位: Hautes Etudes Commerciales (HEC) Paris; University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - New York; Bocconi University
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF FINANCE
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1082
• DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13185
• 发表日期: 2022
• 页码: 3037-3091
• 关键词: INTERNATIONAL-TRADE; interest-rates; income shocks; INEQUALITY; GLOBALIZATION; consumption; EMPLOYMENT; equity; IMPACT; GROWTH

摘要

We analyze the effect of import competition on household balance sheets using individual data on consumer finances. We exploit variation in local industry exposure to foreign competition to study households' response to the income shock triggered by China's accession to the World Trade Organization. We show that household debt increases significantly in regions where manufacturing industries are more exposed to import competition. The effects are driven by home equity extraction and are concentrated in areas with strong house price growth. Our results highlight the role played by mortgage markets in absorbing displacement shocks triggered by globalization.