A Model of Scientific Communication

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Andrews, Isaiah; Shapiro, Jesse M.
• 署名单位: Harvard University; National Bureau of Economic Research; Brown University
• 刊物名称: ECONOMETRICA
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0012-9682
• DOI: 10.3982/ECTA18155
• 发表日期: 2021
• 页码: 2117-2142
• 关键词: perspectives; inference

摘要

We propose a positive model of empirical science in which an analyst makes a report to an audience after observing some data. Agents in the audience may differ in their beliefs or objectives, and may therefore update or act differently following a given report. We contrast the proposed model with a classical model of statistics in which the report directly determines the payoff. We identify settings in which the predictions of the proposed model differ from those of the classical model, and seem to better match practice.