Postwar British economic growth and the legacy of Keynes

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Cooley, TF; Ohanian, LE
• 署名单位: University of Pennsylvania; University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - Minneapolis
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-3808
• DOI: 10.1086/262079
• 发表日期: 1997
• 页码: 439-472
• 关键词: policy; rates; MODEL

摘要

The policies used by Britain to finance World War II represented a dramatic departure from the policies used to finance earlier wars and were very different from the policies used by the United States during the war. Following Keynes's recommendations, Britain taxed capital income at a much higher rate than the United States during the war and for much of the postwar period. We analyze quantitatively the policies designed by Keynes using an endogenous growth model and the neoclassical growth model. We also evaluate the implications of tax-smoothing policies. We find that the welfare costs of Keynes's policies were very high relative to a tax-smoothing policy and argue that Britain's poor macroeconomic performance in the early postwar period is a consequence of the high tax rates levied on capital income.