Planning Ahead for Better Neighborhoods: Long-Run Evidence from Tanzania

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Michaels, Guy; Nigmatulina, Dzhamilya; Rauch, Ferdinand; Regan, Tanner; Baruah, Neeraj; Dahlstrand, Amanda
• 署名单位: University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; University of Oxford; University of Graz; University of London; London Business School
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-3808
• DOI: 10.1086/714119
• 发表日期: 2021
• 页码: 2112-2156
• 关键词: PROPERTY-RIGHTS; LAND; ECONOMICS; services; sites

摘要

Africa's demand for urban housing is soaring, even as it faces a proliferation of slums. In this setting, can modest infrastructure investments in greenfield areas where people subsequently build their own houses facilitate long-run neighborhood development? We study Sites and Services projects implemented in seven Tanzanian cities during the 1970s and 1980s, and we use a spatial regression discontinuity design to compare greenfield areas that were treated (de novo) with nearby greenfield areas that were not. We find that by the 2010s, de novo areas developed into neighborhoods with larger, more regularly laid-out buildings and better-quality housing.