Large-Scale Education Reform in General Equilibrium: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from India

• 成果类型: Article; Early Access
• 署名作者: Khanna, Gaurav
• 署名单位: University of California System; University of California San Diego
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-3808
• DOI: 10.1086/721619
• 发表日期: 2023
• 关键词: SCHOOL CONSTRUCTION PROGRAM; health evidence; MARKET; teachers; returns; POLICY; MODEL; identification; INVESTMENT; enrollment

摘要

The economic consequences of large-scale government investments in education depend on general equilibrium effects in both the labor market and the education sector. I develop a general equilibrium model capturing the consequences of massive countrywide schooling initiatives. I provide unbiased estimates of the model's elasticities, using a regression discontinuity derived from Indian government policy. The earnings returns to a year of education are 13.4%, and the general equilibrium labor market effects substantially depress returns, by 6.6 percentage points. These general equilibrium effects have distributional consequences across cohorts and skill groups, whereby unskilled workers are better off and skilled workers worse off.