Unbundling Quantitative Easing: Taking a Cue from Treasury Auctions

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Ray, Walker; Droste, Michael; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
• 署名单位: University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; Harvard University; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of California System; University of California Berkeley
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-3808
• DOI: 10.1086/729581
• 发表日期: 2024
• 页码: 3115-3172
• 关键词: monetary-policy; interest-rates; PURCHASES EVIDENCE; federal-reserve; Asset purchases; term structure; demand; MODEL

摘要

We study the role of preferred habitat in understanding the economic effects of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE). Using high-frequency identification and exploiting the structure of the primary market for US Treasuries, we isolate demand shocks that are transmitted solely through preferred habitat channels but otherwise mimic QE shocks. We document large localized yield curve effects when financial markets are disrupted. Our calibrated model, which embeds preferred habitat in a New Keynesian framework, can largely account for the observed financial effects of QE. QE is modestly stimulative for output and inflation, but alternative policy designs can generate stronger effects.