Mobility for All: Representative Intergenerational Mobility Estimates over the Twentieth Century

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Jacome, Elisa; Kuziemko, Ilyana; Naidu, Suresh
• 署名单位: Northwestern University; Princeton University; Columbia University; National Bureau of Economic Research
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-3808
• DOI: 10.1086/732527
• 发表日期: 2025
• 页码: 306-354
• 关键词: ABSOLUTE INCOME MOBILITY; UNITED-STATES; Robust Inference; INEQUALITY; TRENDS; neighborhoods; impacts; LESSONS; norway; sweden

摘要

We estimate long-run trends in intergenerational relative mobility for representative samples of the US-born population. Harmonizing all surveys that include father's occupation and own family income, we develop a mobility measure that allows for the inclusion of nonwhite individuals and women for the 1910s-1970s birth cohorts. We show that mobility increases between the 1910s and 1940s cohorts and that the decline of Black-white income gaps explains about half of this rise. We also find that excluding Black Americans, particularly women, considerably overstates the level of mobility for twentieth-century birth cohorts while simultaneously understating its increase between the 1910s and 1940s.