REDRAWING THE MAP OF GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS: THE ROLE OF CROSS-BORDER FINANCING AND TAX HAVENS

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Coppola, Antonio; Maggiori, Matted; Neiman, Brent; Schreger, Jesse
• 署名单位: Harvard University; Stanford University; National Bureau of Economic Research; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; University of Chicago; Columbia University
• 刊物名称: QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0033-5533
• DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjab014
• 发表日期: 2021
• 页码: 1499-1556
• 关键词: NATIONS; dollar; WEALTH; MODEL

摘要

Global firms finance themselves through foreign subsidiaries, often shell companies in tax havens, which obscures their true economic location in official statistics. We associate the universe of traded securities issued by firms in tax havens with their issuer's ultimate parent and restate bilateral investment positions to better reflect the financial linkages connecting countries around the world. Bilateral portfolio investment from developed countries to firms in large emerging markets is dramatically larger than previously thought. The national accounts of the United States, for example, understate the U.S. position in Chinese firms by nearly $600 billion. Further, we demonstrate how offshore issuance in tax havens affects our understanding of the currency composition of external portfolio liabilities and the nature of foreign direct investment. Finally, we provide additional restatements of bilateral investment positions, including one based on the geographic distribution of sales.