The Impact of Intergovernmental Transfers on Education Outcomes and Poverty Reduction

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Litschig, Stephan; Morrison, Kevin M.
• 署名单位: Pompeu Fabra University; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); University of Pittsburgh
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1945-7782
• DOI: 10.1257/app.5.4.206
• 发表日期: 2013
• 页码: 206-240
• 关键词: regression discontinuity designs; class size; policy experiment; school resources; field experiment; BRAZIL; achievement; performance; Indonesia; program

摘要

This paper provides regression discontinuity evidence on development impacts of intergovernmental transfers. Extra transfers in Brazil increased local government spending per capita by about 20 percent over a 4 year period with no evidence of crowding out own revenue or other revenue sources. Schooling per capita increased by about 7 percent and literacy rates by about 4 percentage points. In line with the effect on human capital, the poverty rate was reduced by about 4 percentage points. Somewhat noisier results also suggest that the reelection probability of local incumbent parties in the 1988 elections improved by about 10 percentage points.