A Mechanism for Eliciting Second-Order Beliefs and the Inclination to Choose

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Karni, Edi
• 署名单位: Johns Hopkins University
• 刊物名称: AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MICROECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 1945-7669
• DOI: 10.1257/mic.20160345
• 发表日期: 2018
• 页码: 275-285
• 关键词: utility; probability; preferences; elicitation; CHOICE

摘要

This paper describes a direct revelation mechanism for eliciting decision makers' introspective beliefs on sets of subjective prior or posterior probabilities. The proposed scheme constitutes a revealed-preference procedure for measuring the inclination of decision makers to choose one alternative over another modeled by Minardi and Savochkin (2015).