International Commodity Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Brueckner, Markus; Ciccone, Antonio
• 署名单位: Pompeu Fabra University; Barcelona School of Economics
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02353.x
• 发表日期: 2010
• 页码: 519-534
• 关键词: instrumental variables; natural-resources; CONFLICT; shocks; income; WORLD

摘要

To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries' main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity price downturns on the outbreak of civil wars. We also find that Sub-Saharan countries are more likely to see civil wars following economic downturns in their main OECD export destinations.