Crime Deterrence: Evidence From the London 2011 Riots

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Bell, Brian; Jaitman, Laura; Machin, Stephen
• 署名单位: University of Oxford; University of London; London School Economics & Political Science; University of London; University College London; University of London; London School Economics & Political Science
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12137
• 发表日期: 2014
• 页码: 480-506
• 关键词: displacement; prevention; diffusion

摘要

Significant riots occurred in London in August 2011. The riots took place in highly localised geographical areas, with crime going up hugely in the affected sub-wards. The criminal justice response was to make sentencing for rioters much more severe. We show a significant drop in riot crimes across London in the six months after the riots, consistent with a deterrence effect from the tougher sentencing. More evidence of general deterrence comes from the observation that crime also fell in the post-riot aftermath in areas where rioting did not take place.