STEALING TO SURVIVE? CRIME AND INCOME SHOCKS IN NINETEENTH CENTURY FRANCE

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Bignon, Vincent; Caroli, Eve; Galbiati, Roberto
• 署名单位: European Central Bank; Bank of France; Universite PSL; Universite Paris-Dauphine; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Laboratoire dEconomie de Dauphine LEDa; Paris School of Economics; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut d'Etudes Politiques Paris (Sciences Po)
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12270
• 发表日期: 2017
• 页码: 19-49
• 关键词: UNITED-STATES; unemployment; poverty; VIOLENCE; context; rates; wine

摘要

Using local administrative data from 1826 to 1936, we document the evolution of crime rates in nineteenth century France and we estimate the impact of a negative income shock on crime. Our identification strategy exploits the phylloxera crisis. Between 1863 and 1890, phylloxera destroyed about 40% of French vineyards. We use the geographical variation in the timing of this shock to identify its impact on property and violent crime rates, as well as minor offences. Our estimates suggest that the phylloxera crisis caused a substantial increase in property crime rates and a significant decrease in violent crimes.