Pathogens, Weather Shocks and Civil Conflicts
成果类型：
Article
署名作者：
Cervellati, Matteo; Sunde, Uwe; Valmori, Simona
署名单位：
University of Munich; University of Bologna; IZA Institute Labor Economics; Leibniz Association; Ifo Institut; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK
刊物名称：
ECONOMIC JOURNAL
ISSN/ISSBN：
0013-0133
DOI：
10.1111/ecoj.12430
发表日期：
2017
页码：
2581-2616
关键词：
摘要：
This article documents a statistically strong and quantitatively relevant effect of high exposure to infectious diseases on the risk of civil conflicts. The analysis exploits data on the presence and endemicity of multi-host vector-transmitted pathogens in a country, which is closely related to geo-climatic conditions due to the specific features of these pathogens. Exploiting within-country variation over time shows that this effect of pathogen exposure is significantly amplified by weather shocks. The results indicate health shocks and the outbreak of epidemics as a potential channel, while we find no evidence that the effect works through alternative channels like income, population dynamics, or institutions.
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