Transit Migration: All Roads Lead to America

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Artuc, Erhan; Ozden, Caglar
• 署名单位: The World Bank
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12456
• 发表日期: 2018
• 页码: F306-F334
• 关键词: international migration; decisions; models; CHOICE; FLOWS

摘要

The paths of many migrants include multiple destinations and transit routes, yet this pattern is almost never reflected in empirical analyses. For example, 9% of recent immigrants to the US arrived from a transit country as opposed to the one they were born in. Among those arriving from many OECD countries, transit migration ratio exceeds 30%. To explain these patterns, we construct a dynamic model of global migration that allows transit migration opportunities to impact the attractiveness of locations. After estimating structural parameters of the model, we simulate various counterfactual scenarios to highlight the spillovers of transit migration paths.