BREAKING THE UNBREAKABLE UNION: NATIONALISM, DISINTEGRATION AND THE SOVIET ECONOMIC COLLAPSE

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Suesse, Marvin
• 署名单位: Trinity College Dublin
• 刊物名称: ECONOMIC JOURNAL
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0013-0133
• DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12564
• 发表日期: 2018
• 页码: 2933-2967
• 关键词: fundamental problem; MARKET; TRADE; integration; TRANSITION; SECESSION; REFORM

摘要

This article investigates the effect of prospective secessions on economic integration and growth by examining the break-up of the Soviet Union in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Firstly, I show theoretically how regional elites had an incentive to restrict domestic trade once secession from the Union became possible. Secondly, I show empirically that the increased likelihood of secessions by the Union's member republics strongly cut domestic trade. Thirdly, I show how this explains the severity of the Soviet output fall. These patterns persist once I instrument for prospective secessions with nationalist agendas that are exogenous to trade or growth.