Credit constraints, equity market liberalization, and growth rate asymmetry

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Popov, Alexander
• 署名单位: European Central Bank
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3878
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2013.12.004
• 发表日期: 2014
• 页码: 202-214
• 关键词: Financial openness; Business cycle asymmetry; Development

摘要

This paper provides evidence that financial openness is an important determinant of growth rate asymmetry in emerging markets. I exploit exogenous shocks to financial flows and examine the impact of equity market liberalization on the skewness of output growth for 93 countries during the 1973-2009 period. I show that opening the economy to foreign portfolio investment results in a substantially higher negative skewness of output growth. This result obtains with equal strength in the aggregate data and in the sectoral data, and it is disproportionately stronger in sectors that require more external finance. The skewness effect of financial openness is stronger in countries which experienced a banking crisis after liberalization. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.