Walk the line: Conflict, state capacity and the political dynamics of reform

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Jain, Sanjay; Majumdar, Sumon; Mukand, Sharun W.
• 署名单位: University of Cambridge; Queens University - Canada; University of Warwick; University of Warwick
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3878
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.02.004
• 发表日期: 2014
• 页码: 150-166
• 关键词: economic reform; state capacity; POLITICS; redistribution; COMPENSATION; ethnic conflict

摘要

This paper develops a dynamic framework to analyze the political sustainability of economic reforms in developing countries. First, we demonstrate that economic reforms that are proceeding successfully may run into a political impasse, with the reform's initial success having a negative impact on its political sustainability. Second, we demonstrate that greater state capacity, to make compensatory transfers to those adversely affected by reform, need not always help the political sustainability of reform, but can also hinder it. Finally, we argue that in ethnically divided societies, economic reform may be completed not despite ethnic conflict, but because of it. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.