Neighborhood quality and opposition to immigration: Evidence from German refugee shelters

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Hennig, Jakob
• 署名单位: Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3878
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2020.102604
• 发表日期: 2021
• 关键词: Refugee migration; Real estate; ELECTIONS

摘要

Does refugee immigration affect the quality of neighborhood amenities, and are these changes driving the oppo-sition to immigration? In this paper, I use real estate listings and online reviews of local amenities to demonstrate neighborhood change due to the establishment of a refugee shelter. The setting is Berlin during the refugee immi-gration episode of 2015. I show that shelter locations did not differ from control locations in terms of neighbor-hood quality or political outcomes before 2015. After a shelter is established, rental prices decline 3-4% within 100m of the shelter, relative to untreated locations. Ratings for existing amenities also decline in the immediate vicinity. However, anti-immigrant right-wing parties do not receive a higher share of the vote in these areas, which demonstrates that neighborhood decline due to immigration does not drive the large aggregate surge in their support.