Timing matters: The (very) long-run impacts of cash grants during a crisis

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Fiala, Nathan; Rose, Julian; Aryemo, Filder; Ankel-Peters, Joerg
• 署名单位: University of Connecticut; Leibniz Association; RWI - Leibniz Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung; University of Passau
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3878
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103447
• 发表日期: 2025
• 关键词: cash transfers; Long-run impacts; Covid-19

摘要

We investigate the long-run impacts of a one-time randomized entrepreneurial cash grant in Uganda during COVID-19 lockdowns, twelve years after the intervention. Previous research documented considerable positive effects after four years, which vanished for income after nine years, while some structural changes persisted. For the 12-year follow-up, we find positive effects on employment and income, but for men only, and no effects on food security. These gender-specific effects might not be the last word on the program's long-term impact. Rather, our paper emphasizes that the timing of follow-up studies matters, particularly in the presence of shocks such as the lockdowns.