On the effects of wildfires on poverty in Bolivia

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Canavire-Bacarreza, Gustavo; Puerta-Cuartas, Alejandro; Ramos, Andrey
• 署名单位: Universidad Carlos III de Madrid; Banco de Espana; The World Bank
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3878
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103494
• 发表日期: 2025
• 关键词: poverty; Counterfactual estimators; wildfires; natural disasters

摘要

This paper examines the impact of wildfire events on poverty and the labor market in Bolivia. To this end, we match data from NASA's MODIS Collection-6 MCD64A1 burned area product with household surveys for the period 2005-2020. Similar neighboring municipalities are clustered using the max-p-region algorithm to achieve survey representativeness at granular geographical levels. The causal effects of wildfire events on poverty, household per capita income, and agricultural income are estimated using the Interactive Fixed Effects Counterfactual Estimator. We find a significant short-term increase in poverty following a wildfire event, explained by a temporary decline in household per capita income and agricultural labor income. This paper contributes to enhancing our understanding of how wildfires affect labor markets in developing economies.