The German Elections in the 1870s: Why Germany Turned from Liberalism to Protectionism

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Lehmann, Sibylle H.
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC HISTORY
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-0507
• DOI: 10.1017/S0022050710000082
• 发表日期: 2010
• 页码: 146-178
• 关键词: ecological inference; political-economy; GROWTH; TRADE; industry; british; TARIFFS

摘要

In 1878 the liberal parties lost enough votes to lose the majority in the parliament which they had defended in the general election just one year before. In this article, the questions of where the voters came from and why the voting changed so crucially within one year are reexamined. The analysis uses a new set of data and makes use of King's algorithm, a tool provided by modem political science. The main finding of this article is that the change towards protectionism was not caused by new, but by floating voters from the agricultural sector.