Structural Change in Argentina, 1935-1960: The Role of Import Substitution and Factor Endowments

成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
CGIAR; International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); University of London; King's College London
刊物名称:
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC HISTORY
ISSN/ISSBN:
0022-0507
DOI:
10.1017/S0022050714000084
发表日期:
2014
页码:
230-258
关键词:
摘要:
This article investigates structural change in Argentina between 1935 and 1960, a period of rapid industrialization and of relative decline of the agricultural sector. We use a dynamic three-sector computable general equilibrium model of the period to analyze the effects of the policies of import-substituting industrialization (ISI), and changing factor endowments, on the structure of the economy. We find that the declining land-labor ratio was more important than ISI in explaining relative stagnation in agriculture. ISI gave a substantial boost to manufacturing, but primarily at the expense of non-traded services, rather than of agriculture.
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