The great appreciation, the great depreciation, and the purchasing power parity hypothesis

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Papell, DH
• 署名单位: University of Houston System; University of Houston
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1996(01)00145-3
• 发表日期: 2002
• 页码: 51-82
• 关键词: purchasing power parity; panel unit root tests; structural change

摘要

Although there has been much recent work on purchasing power parity (PPP), neither univariate nor panel methods have produced strong rejections of unit roots in US dollar real exchange rates for industrialized countries during the post-1973 period. We investigate the hypothesis that these non-rejections can be explained by one episode, the large appreciation and depreciation of the dollar in the 1980s, by developing unit root tests which account for this event and maintain long-run PPP. Using panel methods, we can strongly reject the unit root null for those countries that adhere to the typical pattern of the dollar's rise and fall. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.