Do tariffs matter for the extensive margin of international trade? An empirical analysis

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Debaere, Peter; Mostashari, Shalah
• 署名单位: University of Virginia; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK; Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2010.03.005
• 发表日期: 2010
• 页码: 163-169
• 关键词: Trade policy; Extensive margin; Trade growth; FRAGMENTATION; Heterogeneity

摘要

With disaggregate tariff data we study the impact of changing tariffs on the range of goods countries export to the United States. Our probits with country and good effects show tariffs tend to have a statistically significant but small impact: at best 5% of the increasing extensive margin for 1989-1999 and 12% for 1996-2006 is explained by tariff reductions. This suggests the extensive margin has not amplified the impact of tariffs on trade flows to such an extent that the relatively moderate tariff reductions since WW II can explain the strong growth of world trade. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.