International reserves and central bank independence*

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Samano, Agustin
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103674
• 发表日期: 2022
• 关键词: International reserves; Central bank independence; Sovereign debt

摘要

Motivated by a positive correlation between reserve accumulation and the widespread adop-tion of central bank independence legislation in Latin America, this paper develops a sovereign default model with an independent central bank that can accumulate a risk-free foreign asset. I show that if the central bank is more patient than the government and as patient as house-holds are, in equilibrium, the government issues more debt than what is socially optimal, and the central bank accumulates reserves to undo government over-borrowing. A key insight is that the government can issue more debt for any level of reserves but chooses not to because doing so would increase spreads, making it more costly to borrow. Quantitatively, I find that the lack of perfect coordination between the central bank and the government can rationalize levels of reserves and debt close to the observed levels in emerging economies.(c) 2022 Published by Elsevier B.V.