Did trade liberalization with China influence US elections?

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Che, Yi; Lu, Yi; Pierce, Justin R.; Schott, Peter K.; Tao, Zhigang
• 署名单位: East China University of Science & Technology; Tsinghua University; Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve System Board of Governors
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0022-1996
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103652
• 发表日期: 2022
• 关键词: trade liberalization; ELECTIONS; CHINA

摘要

We examine election voting and legislators' roll-call votes in the United States over a twenty-five year period. Voters in areas more exposed to trade liberalization with China in 2000 sub-sequently shift their support toward Democrats, relative to the 1990s, though this boost for Democrats wanes after the rise of the Tea Party in 2010. House members' votes in Congress ra-tionalize these trends, with Democratic representatives disproportionately supporting protec-tion during the early 2000s. Together, these results imply that voters in areas subject to higher import competition shifted votes toward the party more likely to restrict trade.Published by Elsevier B.V.