Automatic stabilizers and economic crisis: US vs. Europe

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Dolls, Mathias; Fuest, Clemens; Peichl, Andreas
• 署名单位: University of Oxford; University of Cologne
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2011.11.001
• 发表日期: 2012
• 页码: 279-294
• 关键词: Stabilization; Income insurance; liquidity constraints; fiscal stimulus

摘要

This paper analyzes the effectiveness of the tax and transfer systems in the EU and the US to provide income insurance through automatic stabilization in the recent economic crisis. We find that automatic stabilizers absorb 38% of a proportional income shock in the EU, compared to 32% in the US. In the case of an unemployment shock 47% of the shock is absorbed in the EU, compared to 34% in the US. This cushioning of disposable income leads to a demand stabilization of up to 30% in the EU and up to 20% in the US. There is large heterogeneity within the EU. Automatic stabilizers in Eastern and Southern Europe are much lower than in Central and Northern European countries. We also investigate whether countries with weak automatic stabilizers have enacted larger fiscal stimulus programs. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.