Sticky-price models and the natural rate hypothesis

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Andrés, J; López-Salido, JD; Nelson, E
• 署名单位: Federal Reserve System - USA; Federal Reserve Bank - St. Louis; University of Valencia; Centre for Economic Policy Research - UK
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0304-3932
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.07.006
• 发表日期: 2005
• 页码: 1025-1053
• 关键词: natural rate hypothesis; Output gap; Price stickiness

摘要

A major criticism of standard specifications of price adjustment in models for monetary policy analysis is that they violate the natural rate hypothesis by allowing output to differ from potential in steady state. In this paper we estimate a dynamic optimizing business cycle model whose price-setting behavior satisfies the natural rate hypothesis. The price-adjustment specifications we consider are the sticky-information specification of Mankiw and Reis (Sticky information versus sticky prices: a proposal to replace the new Keynesian Phillips curve. Quarterly Journal of Economics 117, 1295-1328) and the indexed contracts of Christiano et al. (Nominal rigidities and the dynamic effects of a shock to monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy 113, 1-45). Our empirical estimates of the real side of the economy are similar whichever price adjustment specification is chosen. Consequently, the alternative model specifications deliver similar estimates of the U.S. output gap series, but the empirical behavior of the gap series differs substantially from standard gap estimates. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.