The Effect of Internal Migration on Local Labor Markets: American Cities during the Great Depression

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Boustan, Leah Platt; Fishback, Price V.; Kantor, Shawn
• 署名单位: University of California System; University of California Los Angeles; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Arizona; University of California System; University of California Merced
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF LABOR ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0734-306X
• DOI: 10.1086/653488
• 发表日期: 2010
• 页码: 719-746
• 关键词: UNITED-STATES; new-deal; interstate migration; metropolitan-areas; self-selection; IMPACT; immigration; EMPLOYMENT; unemployment; population

摘要

The Great Depression offers a unique laboratory to investigate the causal impact of migration on local labor markets. We use variation in the generosity of New Deal programs and extreme weather events to instrument for migrant flows to and from U. S. cities. In-migration had little effect on the hourly earnings of existing residents. Instead, in-migration prompted some residents to move away and others to lose weeks of work or access to relief jobs. For every 10 arrivals, we estimate that 1.9 residents moved out, 2.1 were prevented from finding a relief job, and 1.9 shifted from full-time to part-time work.