Optimal primaries

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Hummel, Patrick; Holden, Richard
• 署名单位: Alphabet Inc.; Google Incorporated; University of New South Wales Sydney
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.10.001
• 发表日期: 2014
• 页码: 64-75
• 关键词: Optimal primaries; Order of states; Social planning

摘要

We analyze a model of US presidential primary elections for a given party. There are two candidates, one of whom is a higher quality candidate. Voters reside in m different states and receive noisy private information about the identity of the superior candidate. States vote in some order, and this order is chosen by a social planner. We provide conditions under which the ordering of the states that maximizes the probability that the higher quality candidate is elected is for states to vote in order from smallest to largest populations and most accurate private information to least accurate private information. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.