Multilateral regime change

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Eguia, Jon X.
• 署名单位: Michigan State University
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2021.104562
• 发表日期: 2022
• 关键词: Multilateral conflict; regime change; Policy-motivated conflict

摘要

I present a theory of policy-motivated multilateral conflict. Consider an environment in which a Target country implements domestic policies that other countries find harmful. Any sufficiently pow-erful country can launch an intervention in the Target country to replace its regime and its policies, and any country can support or oppose any intervention. I study the decisions to intervene, and to support or oppose each intervention. The theory delivers intuitive comparative statics: an intervention is more likely in a more interconnected world, if the Target nation is smaller, or if the policy preferred by the Target's government is more extreme. To measure the effectiveness of alliances, I develop a measure of relative sacrifice in contributions to multilateral interventions. Using Afghanistan (2001-2014) as an illustra-tion, I argue that the relative sacrifice made by the US, the UK, and Canada was high, while all other European NATO allies sacrificed little. (c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.