The effects of post-Dobbs abortion bans on fertility

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Dench, Daniel; Pineda-Torres, Mayra; Myers, Caitlin
• 署名单位: University System of Georgia; Georgia Institute of Technology; Middlebury College
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0047-2727
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105124
• 发表日期: 2024
• 关键词: Abortion; Dobbs; fertility; Power analysis

摘要

The U.S. Supreme Court decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization sparked the most profound transformation of the landscape of abortion access in 50 years. We provide the first estimates of the effects of near-total abortion bans on fertility using a pre -registered synthetic difference-in-differences design applied to newly released provisional natality data for the first half of 2023. The results indicate that states with abortion bans experienced an average increase in births of 2.3 percent relative to if no bans had been enforced.