A SIMPLE TEST OF ABORTION AND CRIME

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Joyce, Ted
• 署名单位: National Bureau of Economic Research; City University of New York (CUNY) System; Baruch College (CUNY)
• 刊物名称: REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0034-6535
• DOI: 10.1162/rest.91.1.112
• 发表日期: 2009-02
• 页码: 112-123
• 关键词: legalized abortion; decline; IMPACT; child

摘要

I first replicate Donohue and Levitt's results for violent and property crime arrest rates. I apply their data and specification to an analysis of age-specific homicide rates and murder arrest rates. The coefficients on the abortion rate have the wrong sign for two of the four measures of crime and none is statistically significant at conventional levels. I then use the legalization of abortion in 1973 to exploit two sources of variation: between-state changes in abortion rates before and after Roe, and cross-cohort differences in exposure to legalized abortion. I find no meaningful association between abortion and age-specific crime rates.