Import Competition and Internal Migration

• 成果类型: Review
• 署名作者: Greenland, Andrew; Lopresti, John; McHenry, Peter
• 署名单位: Elon University; William & Mary
• 刊物名称: REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0034-6535
• DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00751
• 发表日期: 2019-03
• 页码: 44-59
• 关键词: labor-market; trade liberalization; adjustment; poverty; shocks; CHINA

摘要

We examine the U.S. internal migration response to increased import competition following the granting of Permanent Normal Trade Relations to China in 2001. Using a variety of data sets and empirical approaches, we find that local labor markets most exposed to the policy change experienced a relative reduction in population growth over the following decade. The majority of the effect occurs at a lag of seven to ten years and is most pronounced among young individuals and low-education groups. Such population adjustments should influence the interpretation of evidence in the growing literature on import competition and local labor markets.