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作者:Gallagher, Ian
作者单位:University of Melbourne
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作者:Masoero, Lorenzo; Vijaykumar, Suhas; Richardson, Thomas S.; McQueen, James; Rosen, Ido; Burdick, Brian; Bajari, Pat; Imbens, Guido
作者单位:Amazon.com; University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle; Stanford University; Stanford University
摘要:Completely randomized experiments, originally developed by Fisher and Neyman in the 1930s, are still widely used in practice, even in online experimentation. However, such designs are of limited value for answering standard questions in marketplaces, where multiple populations of agents interact strategically, leading to complex patterns of spillover effects. In this article, we derive the finite-sample properties of tractable estimators for 'Simple Multiple Randomization Designs', a new class...
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作者:Sood, Anav; Hastie, Trevor
作者单位:Stanford University
摘要:We consider the problem of selecting a small subset of representative variables from a large dataset. In the computer science literature, this dimensionality reduction problem is typically formalized as column subset selection (CSS). Meanwhile, the typical statistical formalization is to find an information-maximizing set of principal variables. This paper shows that these two approaches are equivalent, and moreover, both can be viewed as maximum-likelihood estimation within a certain semi-par...
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作者:Yiu, Andrew; Fong, Edwin; Holmes, Chris; Rousseau, Judith
作者单位:University of Oxford; University of Hong Kong; University of Oxford; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Universite PSL; CNRS - National Institute for Mathematical Sciences (INSMI); Universite Paris-Dauphine
摘要:We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization, and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate low-dimensional functionals of interest without being restricted by the holistic Bayesian formalism. Starting from a conventional posterior on the whole data-generating distribution, we correct the marginal posterior for each functional of interest with the help of th...
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作者:Tang, Dingke; Kong, Dehan; Wang, Linbo
作者单位:University of Ottawa; University of Toronto
摘要:In many observational studies, researchers are often interested in the effects of multiple exposures on a single outcome. Standard approaches for high-dimensional data, such as the Lasso, assume that the associations between the exposures and the outcome are sparse. However, these methods do not estimate causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we consider an alternative approach that assumes the causal effects under consideration are sparse. We show that under ...
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作者:Dong, Pinjun; Han, Ruijian; Jiang, Binyan; Xu, Yiming
作者单位:Zhejiang University; Hong Kong Polytechnic University; University of Kentucky
摘要:We introduce a general covariate-assisted statistical ranking model within the Plackett-Luce framework. Unlike previous studies that focus on individual effects with fixed covariates, our model allows covariates to vary across comparisons. This added flexibility enhances model fitting but also brings significant challenges in analysis. This article addresses these challenges in the context of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). We first provide necessary and sufficient conditions for both mod...
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作者:Kiriliouk, Anna; Lee, Jeongjin; Segers, Johan
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作者:Qian, Chen; Ding, Xiucai; Li, Lexin
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Davis; University of California System; University of California Berkeley
摘要:Time series classification is crucial for numerous scientific and engineering applications. In this article, we present a numerically efficient, practically competitive, and theoretically rigorous classification method for distinguishing between two classes of locally stationary time series based on their time-domain, second-order characteristics. Our approach builds on the autoregressive approximation for locally stationary time series, imposes no requirement on the training sample size, and ...
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作者:Tian, Maozai; Ma, Shaopei; Yu, Zhen; Hu, Yanan
作者单位:Renmin University of China; Xinjiang University of Finance & Economics; Changji University; University of International Business & Economics; University of International Business & Economics; Zhengzhou University
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作者:Pozza, Francesco; Durante, Daniele; Szabo, Botond
作者单位:Bocconi University; Bocconi University
摘要:Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice facilitates optimization and inference, but typically affects the quality of the approximation. In fact, even in basic parametric models, posterior distributions often display asymmetries that yield bias and reduced accuracy when considering symmetric approximations. Recent res...