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作者:Chen, Wanyi; Argon, Nilay Tanik; Bohrmann, Tommy; Linthicum, Benjamin; Lopiano, Kenneth; Mehrotra, Abhishek; Travers, Debbie; Ziya, Serhan
作者单位:Harvard University; Harvard Medical School; Harvard University Medical Affiliates; Massachusetts General Hospital; University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; University of North Carolina School of Medicine; Duke University
摘要:Long boarding times have long been recognized as one of the main reasons behind emergency department (ED) crowding. One of the suggestions made in the literature to reduce boarding times was to predict, at the time of triage, whether a patient will eventually be admitted to the hospital and if the prediction turns out to be admit, start preparations for the patient's transfer to the main hospital early in the ED visit. However, there has been no systematic effort in developing a method to help...
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作者:Kash, Ian A.; Key, Peter B.; Zoumpoulis, Spyros I.
作者单位:University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Chicago; University of Illinois Chicago Hospital; INSEAD Business School
摘要:In the context of subscription-based services, many technologies improve over time, and service providers can provide increasingly powerful service upgrades to their customers but at a launching cost and the expense of the sales of existing products. We propose a model of technology upgrades and characterize the optimal pricing and timing of technology introductions for a service provider who price-discriminates among customers based on their upgrade experience in the face of customers who are...
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作者:Timonina-Farkas, Anna; Seifert, Ralf W.
作者单位:Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne; International Institute for Management Development (IMD)
摘要:Internet ranking algorithms play a crucial role in information technologies and numerical analysis due to their efficiency in high dimensions and wide range of possible applications, including scientometrics and systemic risk in finance (SinkRank, DebtRank, etc.). The traditional approach to internet ranking goes back to the seminal work of Sergey Brin and Larry Page, who developed the initial method PageRank (PR) in order to rank websites in search engine results. Recent works have studied ro...
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作者:Dentcheva, Darinka; Lin, Yang; Penev, Spiridon
作者单位:Stevens Institute of Technology; University of New South Wales Sydney; University of New South Wales Sydney
摘要:Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals that are subjected to multiple measure perturbations. Our main focus is the asymptotic behavior of data-driven formulations with empirical or smoothing estimators such as kernels or wavelets applied to some or to all functions of the compositions. We analyze the properties of the new estimators and we establish strong law...
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作者:Varma, Sushil Mahavir; Bumpensanti, Pornpawee; Maguluri, Siva Theja; Wang, He
作者单位:University System of Georgia; Georgia Institute of Technology
摘要:Motivated by applications from gig economy and online marketplaces, we study a two-sided queueing system under joint pricing and matching controls. The queueing systemismodeled by a bipartite graph, where the vertices represent customer or server types and the edges represent compatible customer-server pairs. Both customers and servers sequentially arrive to the system and join separate queues according to their types. The arrival rates of different types depend on the prices set by the system...
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作者:Gu, Haotian; Guo, Xin; Wei, Xiaoli; Xu, Renyuan
作者单位:University of California System; University of California Berkeley; University of California System; University of California Berkeley; Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School; University of Southern California
摘要:The dynamic programming principle (DPP) is fundamental for control and optimization, including Markov decision problems (MDPs), reinforcement learning (RL), and, more recently, mean-field controls (MFCs). However, in the learning framework of MFCs, the DPP has not been rigorously established, despite its critical importance for algorithm designs. In this paper, we first present a simple example in MFCs with learning where the DPP fails with a misspecified Q function and then propose the correc...
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作者:Neyman, Eric; Roughgarden, Tim
作者单位:Columbia University
摘要:This paper forges a strong connection between two seemingly unrelated forecasting problems: incentive-compatible forecast elicitation and forecast aggregation. Proper scoring rules are the well-known solution to the former problem. To each such rule s, we associate a corresponding method of aggregation, mapping expert forecasts and expert weights to a consensus forecast, which we call quasi-arithmetic (QA) pooling with respect to s. We justify this correspondence in several ways: QA pooling wi...
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作者:Birge, John R.; Capponi, Agostino; Chen, Peng-Chu
作者单位:University of Chicago; Columbia University; University of Hong Kong
摘要:We study systemic risk in a supply chain network where firms are connected through purchase orders. Firms can be hit by cost or demand shocks, which can cause defaults. These shocks propagate through the supply chain network via input-output linkages between buyers and suppliers. Firms endogenously take contingency plans to mitigate the impact generated from disruptions. We show that, as long as firms have large initial equity buffers, network fragility is low if both buyer diversification and...
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作者:Grand-Clement, Julien; Chan, Carri W.; Goyal, Vineet; Escobar, Gabriel
作者单位:Columbia University; Columbia University; Kaiser Permanente
摘要:Patients whose transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU) is unplanned are prone to higher mortality rates and longer length of stay. Recent advances in machine learning to predict patient deterioration have introduced the possibility of proactive transfer from the ward to the ICU. In this work, we study the problem of finding robust patient transfer policies that account for the important problem of uncertainty in statistical estimates because of data limitations when optimizing to improve ove...
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作者:Sinclair, Sean R.; Banerjee, Siddhartha; Yu, Christina Lee
作者单位:Cornell University
摘要:Discretization-based approaches to solving online reinforcement learning problems are studied extensively on applications such as resource allocation and cache management. The two major questions in designing discretization-based algorithms are how to create the discretization and when to refine it. There are several experimental results investigating heuristic approaches to these questions but little theoretical treatment. In this paper, we provide a unified theoretical analysis of model-free...