作者：Le, ND; Raftery, AE; Martin, RD
作者单位：University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle
摘要：Autoregressive (AR) models of order k are often used for forecasting and control of time series, as well as for the estimation of functionals such as the spectrum. Here we propose a method that consists of calculating the posterior probabilities of the competing AR(k) models in a way that is robust to outliers, and then obtaining the predictive distributions of quantities of interest, such as future observations and the spectrum, as a weighted average of the predictive distributions conditiona...
作者：DasPeddada, S; Chang, T
摘要：This article deals with statistical inference of the motion of rigid bodies using bootstrap methodology. We consider two types of motion: motion in p dimensional Euclidean space, and motion on a p-dimensional sphere. This article is motivated by problems of interest to polar scientists understanding the motion of ice pack at the North Pole and those to geoscientists studying the motion of tectonic plates. In addition to obtaining the point estimates for various parameters describing the motion...
