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作者:Merdan, Selin; Barnett, Christine L.; Denton, Brian T.; Montie, James E.; Miller, David C.
作者单位:University of Michigan System; University of Michigan; University of Michigan System; University of Michigan
摘要:We used data-analytics approaches to develop, calibrate, and validate predictive models, to help urologists in a large statewide collaborative make prostate cancer staging decisions on the basis of individual patient risk factors. The models were validated using statistical methods based on bootstrapping and evaluation on out-of-sample data. These models were used to design guidelines that optimally weigh the benefits and harms of radiological imaging for the detection of metastatic prostate c...
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作者:Holzmann, Tim; Smith, J. Cole
作者单位:United States Department of Defense; United States Air Force; Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT); Syracuse University
摘要:Shortest-path interdiction problems involve a leader and a follower playing a zero-sum game over a directed network. The leader interdicts a set of arcs, and arc costs increase as a function of the number of times they are interdicted. The follower observes the leader's actions and selects a shortest path in response. The leader's optimal interdiction strategy maximizes the follower's minimum-cost path. In classic formulations of these problems, the leader's interdiction actions are determinis...
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作者:Banerjee, Siddhartha; Freund, Daniel; Lykouris, Thodoris
作者单位:Cornell University; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
摘要:Optimizing shared vehicle systems (bike-/scooter-/car-/ride-sharing) are more challenging compared with traditional resource allocation settings because of the presence of complex network externalities-changes in the demand/supply at any location affect future supply throughout the system within short timescales. These externalities are well captured by steady-state Markovian models, which are therefore widely used to analyze such systems. However, using such models to design pricing and other...
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作者:Rostami, Borzou; Desaulniers, Guy; Errico, Fausto; Lodi, Andrea
作者单位:Wilfrid Laurier University; Universite de Montreal; Polytechnique Montreal; Universite de Montreal; Polytechnique Montreal; Universite de Montreal; University of Quebec; Ecole de Technologie Superieure - Canada; Universite de Montreal
摘要:In this paper, we consider a version of the capacitated vehicle routing problem (CVRP) where travel times are assumed to be uncertain and statistically correlated (CVRP-SCT). In particular, we suppose that travel times follow a multivariate probability distribution whose first and second moments are known. The main purpose of the CVRP-CST is to plan vehicle routes whose travel times are reliable, in the sense that observed travel times are not excessively dispersed with respect to their expect...
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作者:Sunar, Nur; Yu, Siyun; Kulkarni, Vidyadhar G.
作者单位:University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; Uber Technologies, Inc.; University of North Carolina; University of North Carolina Chapel Hill
摘要:Motivated by the challenges faced by firms entering an unknown market, we study a strategic investment problem in a duopoly setting. The favorableness of the market is unknown to both firms, but firms have prior information about it. A leader invests first by choosing its investment size. Then, in a continuous-time Bayesian setting, a competitive follower dynamically learns about the favorableness of the market by observing the leader's earnings and chooses its investment size and timing. In t...
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作者:Nam Ho-Nguyen; Kilinc-Karzan, Fatma
作者单位:University of Sydney; Carnegie Mellon University
摘要:We study nonparametric estimation of choice models, which was introduced to alleviate unreasonable assumptions in traditional parametric models and is prevalent in several application areas. Existing literature focuses only on the static observational setting where all of the observations are given up front and lacks algorithms that provide explicit convergence rate guarantees or an a priori analysis for the model accuracy versus sparsity trade-off on the actual estimated model returned. As op...
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作者:Chan, Carri W.; Huang, Michael; Sarhangian, Vahid
作者单位:Columbia University; University of Toronto
摘要:Many service systems are staffed by workers who work in shifts. In this article, we study the dynamic assignment of servers to different areas of a service system at the beginning of discrete time intervals, namely, shifts. The ability to reassign servers at discrete intervals, rather than continuously, introduces a partial flexibility that provides an opportunity for reducing the expected waiting time of customers. The problem is primarily motivated by an application to nurse staffing in emer...
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作者:Cao, Ping; He, Shuangchi; Huang, Junfei; Liu, Yunan
作者单位:Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Science & Technology of China, CAS; National University of Singapore; Chinese University of Hong Kong; North Carolina State University
摘要:There are two basic queue structures commonly adopted in service systems: the pooled structure, where waiting customers are organized into a single queue served by a group of servers, and the dedicated structure, where each server has her own queue. Although the pooled structure, known to minimize the servers' idle time, is widely used in large-scale service systems, this study reveals that the dedicated structure, along with the join-the-shortest-queue routing policy, could be more advantageo...
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作者:D'Errico, Marco; Roukny, Tarik
作者单位:European Central Bank
摘要:Over-the-counter markets are at the center of the global reform of the financial system. We show how the size and structure of these markets can undergo rapid and extensive changes when participants engage in portfolio compression, which is an optimization technology that exploits multilateral netting opportunities. We find that tightly knit and concentrated trading structures, as featured by many large over-the-counter markets, are especially susceptible to reductions of notional amounts and ...
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作者:Atkinson, Michael P.; Kress, Moshe; MacKay, Niall J.
作者单位:United States Department of Defense; United States Navy; Naval Postgraduate School; University of York - UK
摘要:Existing Lanchester combat models focus on two force parameters: numbers (force size) and per-capita effectiveness (attrition rate). Whereas these two parameters are central in projecting a battle's outcome, there are other important factors that affect the battlefield: (1) targeting capability, that is, the capacity to identify live enemy units and not dissipate fire on nontargets; (2) tactical restrictions preventing full deployment of forces; and (3) morale and tolerance of losses, that is,...