IMF Executive Board Concludes 2026 Discussions on Common Policies of the West African Economic and Monetary Union

  • 时间:2026-05-21
  • The WAEMU was among the fastest growing regions in the world in 2025, with low inflation and external reserves at comfortable levels following a sharp recovery. Fiscal deficits narrowed and public debt declined for the first time in over a decade.
  • The region faces significant downside risks, notably from the war in the Middle East, high debt burdens and elevated sovereign financing needs, a strong sovereign-bank nexus with pockets of financial sector vulnerability, and exposure to security and climate shocks.
  • Credible and sustained fiscal convergence toward the 3 percent deficit target, anchored by the prompt adoption of the WAEMU Convergence Pact, remains the priority. Monetary policy should remain data dependent, while timely action is needed to address financial sector vulnerabilities, including elevated sovereign exposures, high non-performing loans, and low provisioning.

Washington, DC: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the annual discussions on common policies of member countries of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU)[1]. The authorities have consented to the publication of the Staff Report prepared for this consultation[2].

Economic growth in the WAEMU reached 6.6 percent in 2025—among the fastest growing regions of the world—while inflation fell below its target range from mid-2025, driven primarily by transitory food price deflation. Progress in reducing external imbalances continued as the current account deficit narrowed from 5.7 percent of GDP in 2024 to 1.7 percent in 2025, reflecting elevated gold and cocoa prices and rising hydrocarbon export volumes. Reserves rose sharply above adequate levels, reaching 7.8 months of prospective imports in February 2026. The external position is assessed to be broadly in line with the level implied by fundamentals and desirable policies. As inflation fell and external buffers recovered, the Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) lowered policy rates by a cumulative 50 basis points since June 2025.

Public debt is estimated to have declined in 2025, supported by fiscal consolidation and strong growth, although debt sustainability risks remain elevated in several countries. The fiscal deficit narrowed from 5.4 percent of GDP in 2024 to 3.4 percent in 2025, and the debt-to-GDP ratio fell from 68 percent in 2024 to an estimated 65 percent in 2025. However, debt levels and financing conditions remain heterogeneous across the union, with high debt and tighter financing conditions in some countries. Increased reliance on the regional debt market saw issuance volumes rise sharply in 2025, keeping the risks associated with banks’ exposures to sovereigns high. The banking system remains solid overall, although persistently high non-performing loans (NPLs), low provisioning, elevated sovereign exposures, and pockets of vulnerability in some countries heighten financial stability risks.

Growth is projected to moderate to about 5.5 percent in 2026, stabilizing at around 6 percent over the medium term, while inflation is expected to return to the target range in 2026. Fiscal convergence to the 3 percent of GDP deficit target is expected to continue, with delays in several countries. Reserves are projected to increase gradually, reaching about 8.1 months of prospective imports by 2030. However, the region remains subject to significant downside risks, notably from the war in the Middle East—which could significantly impact inflation, growth, and external sustainability—as well as fiscal sustainability pressures, macro-financial stability risks, and security and climate shocks.

Executive Board Assessment[3]

Executive Directors agreed with the thrust of the staff appraisal. They welcomed that the WAEMU continues to benefit from strong growth and low inflation, alongside progress in reducing fiscal imbalances and rebuilding external buffers. Noting significant heterogeneity across countries in terms of policy space, implementation capacity and exposure to risks, amplified by the war in the Middle East, Directors stressed the importance of prudent policies to preserve macroeconomic and financial stability, and of structural reforms to foster inclusive growth, combined with the need for strengthened coordination at the regional and national levels. They looked forward to the Fund’s continued engagement with WAEMU member states to bolster reform momentum and policy credibility.

Directors welcomed the decline in regional debt ratio, the first in over a decade. Given elevated public debt and financing needs, Directors stressed the importance of a credible and sustained commitment to fiscal consolidation. Fiscal adjustment should be driven primarily by domestic revenue mobilization, alongside measures to contain debt creating stock flow adjustments. Improvements in fiscal and debt transparency are also important. In this context, they called for the rapid adoption of the enhanced WAEMU Convergence Pact and emphasized the need to avoid fiscal slippages which could strain financing conditions and exacerbate sovereign bank nexus risks. Closely monitoring regional market conditions is thus paramount.

Directors noted that the current monetary policy stance remains broadly appropriate. They agreed that monetary policy should remain data dependent and continue to focus on maintaining price stability while safeguarding financial stability. Directors stressed that the BCEAO should stand ready to adjust the policy stance if conditions deteriorate.  Directors also encouraged continued dialogue between staff and the authorities to strengthen the effectiveness of monetary policy.

Directors welcomed that the financial system remains broadly sound. They noted that risks to financial stability persist reflecting the elevated sovereign bank nexus, persistently high nonperforming loans, low provisioning, and pockets of vulnerabilities in some countries. In that context, they encouraged the authorities to address these risks with actions anchored in fiscal discipline and supported by prudential, supervisory and crisis preparedness measures. Full implementation of remaining FSAP recommendations will also be essential.

Directors agreed that WAEMU's longer term prosperity will depend on stronger regional solidarity, deeper economic integration, and sustained inclusive growth. They welcomed the 2030 Strategic Plan as a useful framework to support economic transformation and diversification, including by reducing trade barriers and strengthening regional value chains.

The views expressed by Executive Directors today will form part of the Article IV consultations with individual member countries that will take place until the next Board discussion of WAEMU common policies. It is expected that the next regional discussions with the WAEMU authorities will be held on the standard 12-month cycle.

Table 1. WAEMU: Selected Economic and Social Indicators, 2021–30















Social Indicators


GDP




Poverty (2021, latest available)







Nominal GDP (2025, millions of US Dollars)

253,956



Headcount ratio at $1.90 a day (2011 PPP, percent of population)



35.0


GDP per capita (2025, US Dollars)

1,615



Undernourishment (percent of population)





10.5
















Population characteristics




Inequality (2021, latest available)







Total (2024, millions)

147.8



Income share held by highest 10 percent of population



28.4


Urban population (2024, percent of total)

41.5



Income share held by lowest 20 percent of population



7.7


Life expectancy at birth (2023, years)

62.2



Gini index







35.4


Economic Indicators


















2021

2022


2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030








SR25/110 1

Est.

Projected



(Annual Percentage Change)



National income and prices














GDP at constant prices 2

6.1

5.9


5.4

6.4

6.3

6.6

5.5

5.6

5.7

5.7

5.8


GDP per capita at constant prices

3.2

3.0


2.5

3.5

3.3

3.6

2.6

2.6

2.8

2.8

2.9


Consumer prices (average)

3.6

7.4


3.8

3.5

3.5

0.1

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0


Terms of trade

-6.3

-18.3


9.0

36.1

12.4

29.5

2.3

-2.2

0.1

-2.0

-1.2


Nominal effective exchange rate

1.2

-2.3


6.3

3.6

3.0

3.0


Real effective exchange rate

1.5

-3.5


3.8

3.0

0.1

0.1



(Percent of GDP)



National accounts














Gross national savings

20.0

18.7


17.4

18.9

20.8

21.4

21.0

20.6

20.8

21.4

21.5


Gross domestic investment

25.9

28.5


26.9

24.1

26.9

23.1

23.1

23.2

23.5

23.7

23.9


Of which: public investment

7.7

8.2


8.0

7.2

6.8

6.7

7.1

7.4

7.5

7.7

8.0

















(Annual changes in percent of beginning-of-period broad money)



Money and credit














Net foreign assets

1.7

-7.9


-7.2

6.1

6.1

17.7

4.1

4.0

3.3

2.7

2.9


Net domestic assets

16.9

20.7


10.4

3.0

3.4

2.4

9.6

9.2

9.4

9.5

9.3


Broad money

18.0

11.4


3.5

8.9

8.9

17.5

13.0

12.8

12.5

11.9

12.0


Credit to the economy

8.1

9.0


6.8

2.7

2.7

3.9

4.6

5.4

5.8

6.3

6.3



(Percent of GDP, unless otherwise indicated)



Government financial operations














Government total revenue, excl. grants

16.1

15.5


16.1

16.4

16.6

17.5

17.5

18.0

18.4

18.7

18.9


Government expenditure

24.2

25.0


23.7

22.5

22.4

21.6

21.9

22.0

22.1

22.2

22.4


Overall fiscal balance, excl. grants

-8.1

-9.4


-7.6

-6.1

-5.8

-4.1

-4.4

-4.0

-3.7

-3.5

-3.5


Overall fiscal balance, incl. grants

-6.7

-8.2


-6.6

-5.4

-5.2

-3.4

-3.7

-3.3

-3.0

-2.9

-2.9
















External sector














Exports of goods and services 3

18.8

19.3


17.5

19.1

18.8

23.5

24.3

23.5

22.7

22.5

22.0


Imports of goods and services 3

24.6

29.3


27.0

24.2

24.6

24.0

24.7

24.2

23.6

22.9

22.6


Current account, excl. grants

-6.5

-10.7


-9.9

-6.1

-6.5

-2.0

-2.4

-2.8

-2.9

-2.6

-2.6


Current account, incl. grants

-5.8

-9.8


-9.3

-5.7

-6.1

-1.7

-2.1

-2.5

-2.7

-2.4

-2.4


External public debt

37.5

38.0


40.7

40.9

39.9

37.9

37.5

36.9

36.0

34.9

33.7


Total public debt

59.1

62.5


65.1

67.6

65.0

64.7

63.9

62.7

61.2

59.9

58.3
















Broad money

39.9

40.1


38.2

38.0

38.8

41.1

43.0

45.0

46.9

48.7

50.5



Memorandum items:














Nominal GDP (billions of CFA francs)

103,103

114,228


124,112

135,823

133,227

147,506

159,452

172,128

185,473

200,147

216,132


Nominal GDP per capita (US dollars)

1,326

1,272


1,378

1,466

1,446

1,615

1,771

1,853

1,935

2,028

2,128


CFA franc per US dollars, average

554.2

622.4


606.5

606.2

580.8

580.8


Gross international reserves














In months of next year's imports (of goods and services)

5.0

4.1


3.5

4.6

4.6

7.0

7.3

7.6

7.8

7.9

8.1


In percent of current GDP

13.6

10.0


7.6

10.0

10.1

15.5

15.9

16.1

16.1

16.1

16.3


 In percent of the BCEAO's sight liabilities

79.7

63.8


56.9

66.9

66.9

87.2

89.0

89.1

88.3

87.7

87.8


In millions of US dollars

24,172

18,398


15,979

21,408

21,593

40,850

45,679

49,760

53,574

57,773

62,865


Sources:  IMF, African Department database; World Economic Outlook; World Bank World Development Indicators; IMF staff estimates and projections.

All projections presented were prepared in September 2025. Projections correspond to the latest WEO and will be refreshed with the new submission.

1 Shows data from the IMF Country Report 25/110 issued on May 19, 2025.





2 The acceleration in GDP growth in 2024 is due to the start of production of large hydrocarbon projects in Niger and Senegal.


3 Excluding intraregional trade














[1] Under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. Staff hold separate annual discussions with the regional institutions responsible for common policies in four currency unions—the Euro Area, the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union, the Central African Economic and Monetary Union, and the West African Economic and Monetary Union. For each of the currency unions, staff teams visit the regional institutions responsible for common policies in the currency union, collects economic and financial information, and discusses with officials the currency union’s economic developments and policies. On return to headquarters, the staff prepares a report, which forms the basis of discussion by the Executive Board. Both staff’s discussions with the regional institutions and the Board discussion of the annual staff report will be considered an integral part of the Article IV consultation with each member.

[2] Under the IMF's Articles of Agreement, publication of documents that pertain to member countries is voluntary and requires the member consent. The staff report will be shortly published on the www.imf.org/[country] page.

[3] At the conclusion of the discussion, the Managing Director, as Chair of the Board, summarizes the views of Executive Directors, and this summary is transmitted to the country's authorities. An explanation of any qualifiers used in summings up can be found here: http://www.IMF.org/external/np/sec/misc/qualifiers.htm.