ESTIMATION OF SURVIVAL IN MARKED POPULATIONS WITH POSSIBLY DEPENDENT SIGHTING PROBABILITIES

成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
SANDLAND, RL; KIRKWOOD, GP
署名单位:
Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
刊物名称:
BIOMETRIKA
ISSN/ISSBN:
0006-3444
DOI:
10.1093/biomet/68.2.531
发表日期:
1981
页码:
531541
关键词:
摘要:
A simply parameterized class of models for the estimation of survival probability in a marked population is introduced which allows tests of dependence between sighting probabilities and constancy of survival or sighting probabilities. Estimation and hypothesis testing based on the likelihood function are discussed. By simulation, the asymptotic properties of the test for dependence are shown to hold for modest sample sizes. The degree of bias in estimation of survival probabilities when dependence between sightings is not taken into account increases as the probability of a nonsighting following a nonsighting increases. A comprehensive analysis of the data from a mark-recapture experiment dealing with survival of abalone [Haliotis laevigata] is given.