The mode functional is not elicitable

成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
Heinrich, C.
署名单位:
Ruprecht Karls University Heidelberg
刊物名称:
BIOMETRIKA
ISSN/ISSBN:
0006-3444
DOI:
10.1093/biomet/ast048
发表日期:
2014
页码:
245251
关键词:
摘要:
This article is concerned with point forecasting of a real-valued random variable with a general Lebesgue density. Answering a question of Gneiting (2011), it is shown that the mode is not elicitable, or, in other words, that it is impossible to find a loss or scoring function under which the mode is the Bayes predictor.
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