Localized conformal prediction: a generalized inference framework for conformal prediction
成果类型:
Article
署名作者:
Guan, Leying
署名单位:
Yale University
刊物名称:
BIOMETRIKA
ISSN/ISSBN:
0006-3444
DOI:
10.1093/biomet/asac040
发表日期:
2023
页码:
3350
关键词:
摘要:
We propose a new inference framework called localized conformal prediction. It generalizes the framework of conformal prediction by offering a single-test-sample adaptive construction that emphasizes a local region around this test sample, and can be combined with different conformal scores. The proposed framework enjoys an assumption-free finite sample marginal coverage guarantee, and it also offers additional local coverage guarantees under suitable assumptions. We demonstrate how to change from conformal prediction to localized conformal prediction using several conformal scores, and we illustrate a potential gain via numerical examples.
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