Bayesian analysis and mapping of mortality rates for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

• 成果类型: Article
• 署名作者: Nandram, B; Sedransk, J; Pickle, LW
• 署名单位: Worcester Polytechnic Institute; University System of Ohio; Case Western Reserve University; National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA; NIH National Cancer Institute (NCI); NIH Division of Cancer Control & Population Sciences
• 刊物名称: JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION
• ISSN/ISSBN: 0162-1459
• 发表日期: 2000
• 页码: 1110-1118
• 关键词: asthma; variability; regression

摘要

This article summarizes our research on estimation of age-specific and age-adjusted mortality rates for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) fur white males. Our objectives are more precise and informative displays (than previously available) of geographic variation of the age-specific mortality rates for COPD, and investigation of the relationships between the geographic variation in mortality rates and the corresponding variation in selected covariates. For a given age class, our estimates are displayed in a choropleth map of mean rates. We develop a variation map that identifies the geographical areas where inferences are reliable. Hers, the variation is measured by considering a set of maps produced using samples from the posterior distribution of the population mortality rates. Finally, we describe the spatial patterns in the age-specific maps and relate these to patterns in potential explanatory covariates such as smoking rate, annual rainfall, population density, elevation, and measures of air quality.